The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4) look to right the ship at Raymond James Stadium against the juggernaut Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Chiefs-Buccaneers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Chiefs at Buccaneers: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:50 a.m. ET.
Money lineChiefs prop bets Prop bets are based on individual performance, typically surrounding players. The Chiefs had one of the most explosive offenses in 2020 and therefore were one of the most popular targets for prop bets. Super Bowl Odds 2021 Moneyline, Prop Bet List, More for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Joe Tansey @ JTansey90. Featured Columnist February 1, 2021 Comments. Charlie Riedel/Associated Press.
: Chiefs -193 (bet $193 to win $100) | Buccaneers +165 (bet $100 to win $165)Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill's longest reception OVER 25.5 yards (-125) One of our favorite bets each week is for Hill to catch at least one pass over 25.5 yards and it seems like he always comes through.
Against the spread/ATS: Chiefs -3.5 (-106) | Buccaneers +3.5 (-115)Over/Under: 55.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)Special NFL Betting Promotion
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Chiefs at Buccaneers: Game notes
The Chiefs and Buccaneers are coming off very different primetime results in Week 11. Kansas City used a final-minute touchdown pass from QB Patrick Mahomes to top the rival Las Vegas Raiders 35-31 on Sunday Night Football.The Bucs lost 27-24 to the Los Angeles Rams on a game-winning field goal with under three minutes remaining on Monday Night Football. Buccaneers QB Tom Brady was held to 216 passing yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.Mahomes, the reigning Super Bowl MVP, leads the NFL with 3,035 passing yards. He has 27 passing touchdowns against 2 interceptions with another 2 rushing scores.The Buccaneers rank second by Football Outsiders‘ total defensive DVOA. They're No. 2 against the pass and No. 1 against the run. The Chiefs are 14th overall and 30th against the run.Tampa Bay is third in the league with 5.0 yards allowed per play. Kansas City is second offensively with 6.3 yards gained per play.The Chiefs average a league-high 32.1 points per game on offense. The Bucs score 29.1 PPG.KC is third with a plus-8 turnover differential on the year. Tampa Bay is plus-5 in the turnover margin.Special NFL Betting Promotion: Bet $1 on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if Buccaneers QB Tom Brady throws a touchdown pass this week. Place your legal, online sports wagers in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Bet now!
Chiefs at Buccaneers: Key injuries
Buccaneers
CB Jamel Dean (concussion) outG Ali Marpet (concussion) questionableOT
Chiefs at Buccaneers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Chiefs 32, Buccaneers 23
Money line (?)
The CHIEFS (-193) are moderately favored on the road, as they still have just one loss since Week 10 of the 2019 season. The Chiefs are much more familiar with Brady than the Bucs are with Mahomes and Co., and will be able to use their experience with the former New England Patriots signal-caller to their advantage.
Against the spread (?)
Roll with the CHIEFS -3.5 (-106) to win by at least 4 points. The Bucs' top-ranked rush defense will only put the ball in the hands of Mahomes more often. As the Raiders found out last week, no lead is safe and the whole league knows the time of possession means little with how quickly the Chiefs' passing attack can get down the field.
Over/Under (?)
Lean ever so slightly to the UNDER 55.5 (-106). The Bucs should be able to keep the Chiefs contained early in the game and the opportunistic Chiefs defense could force the suddenly mistake-prone Brady (9 INTs on the season) into some more ill-advised throws when trying to keep pace with Mahomes.
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Mahomes leads Pro Bowl voting (Chiefs Wire)Arians fears career-ending injury for A.Q. Shipley (Bucs Wire)Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
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The Buffalo Bills (15-3) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) in the AFC Championship Sunday. Kickoff is set for 6:40 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. Below, we highlight five Bills-Chiefs player prop bet predictions from the BetMGM game menu.
Also see:Bills at Chiefs odds, picks and prediction
5 Bills at Chiefs prop bet predictions for AFC Championship
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 1:20 p.m. ET.
Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill's longest reception OVER 25.5 yards (-125)
One of our favorite bets each week is for Hill to catch at least one pass over 25.5 yards and it seems like he always comes through. With his speed and QB Patrick Mahomes‘ arm strength, they are the perfect pairing. While he may not have a big day overall against this Bills' secondary, look for him to make at least one splash play in the passing game.
Chiefs TE Travis Kelce to score a touchdown (-115)
Chiefs at Buccaneers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Chiefs 32, Buccaneers 23
Money line (?)
The CHIEFS (-193) are moderately favored on the road, as they still have just one loss since Week 10 of the 2019 season. The Chiefs are much more familiar with Brady than the Bucs are with Mahomes and Co., and will be able to use their experience with the former New England Patriots signal-caller to their advantage.
Against the spread (?)
Roll with the CHIEFS -3.5 (-106) to win by at least 4 points. The Bucs' top-ranked rush defense will only put the ball in the hands of Mahomes more often. As the Raiders found out last week, no lead is safe and the whole league knows the time of possession means little with how quickly the Chiefs' passing attack can get down the field.
Over/Under (?)
Lean ever so slightly to the UNDER 55.5 (-106). The Bucs should be able to keep the Chiefs contained early in the game and the opportunistic Chiefs defense could force the suddenly mistake-prone Brady (9 INTs on the season) into some more ill-advised throws when trying to keep pace with Mahomes.
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you're looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Blackjack calculation. Also see:
Mahomes leads Pro Bowl voting (Chiefs Wire)Arians fears career-ending injury for A.Q. Shipley (Bucs Wire)Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
The Buffalo Bills (15-3) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) in the AFC Championship Sunday. Kickoff is set for 6:40 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium. Below, we highlight five Bills-Chiefs player prop bet predictions from the BetMGM game menu.
Also see:Bills at Chiefs odds, picks and prediction
5 Bills at Chiefs prop bet predictions for AFC Championship
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 1:20 p.m. ET.
Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill's longest reception OVER 25.5 yards (-125)
One of our favorite bets each week is for Hill to catch at least one pass over 25.5 yards and it seems like he always comes through. With his speed and QB Patrick Mahomes‘ arm strength, they are the perfect pairing. While he may not have a big day overall against this Bills' secondary, look for him to make at least one splash play in the passing game.
Chiefs TE Travis Kelce to score a touchdown (-115)
When the Chiefs get into the red zone, Kelce is the first option for Mahomes. His combination of size and physicality make him the perfect red-zone weapon. Kelce has caught at least one touchdown in four of his last five playoff games and he should be able to accomplish that mark again in this contest.
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Bills QB Josh Allen UNDER 2.5 passing touchdowns (-150)
Despite being one of the league's best offenses during the regular season, the Bills have seen their offense struggle in the postseason. Against the Baltimore Ravens, they scored just one touchdown on offense and Allen struggled to throw the ball downfield. While they should have more success today, they aren't a lock to score 3 or 4 touchdowns. That's why we like Allen to throw fewer than 2.5 touchdowns in this game.
The Bills like to use their quarterback as a runner near the end zone, so don't be surprised if he scores that way. Just don't anticipate him throwing 3 or more touchdowns against the Chiefs.
Bills WR John Brown UNDER 52.5 receiving yards (-110)
Chiefs Bet
Since Brown returned to the field for the Bills, he has been a nice addition to the offense. His speed and ability to run deeper routes give this offense more depth; however, his receiving yardage is just far too high. Look for Allen to focus on Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley today and for Brown to be the one left out on targets.
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley to all catch 6 or more passes (+575)
Want a fun long-shot parlay to bet on this game? Take the three best receivers in Hill, Diggs and Beasley to all catch at least 6 passes. Each of these receivers are nearly impossible to stop 1 on 1 and they create separation with ease. At +575, this is just too good of a bet to ignore given the possible game script between these two squads.
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Chiefs Betting
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